This piece originally appeared at Second Best.
This post explains why I have short timelines to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and you should too.
I plan to get back to my AI and Leviathan series soon, but since its arguments hinge on the trajectory of AI more broadly, explaining why AGI is near seems worth the digression. It’s also relevant to public policy, as the lack of consensus on where AI is headed makes consensus on how governments should respond impossible.